Kwiinyanga zangoku, i-ruble rate, njengokhenkethi yekhenksi, yenza i-dizzing somersaults. Ichaphazela umgaqo-nkqubo omtsha weBhanki Ephakathi, okubandakanya ukulahlwa kwekharityhulam yemali kunye nokukhutshwa kwemali yesizwe kwiindawo zokuhamba ngokukhululeka. Iiplani zokuqala, ezenzelwe ukuphazamisa abaxilisi, ziguqukile. Abantu baseRussia emzameni wokukrazula iiruble ezihlaziyiweyo zifakwe kumgca ezitolo, ukuthenga izinto eziyimfuneko kunye neemfuneko ezingekho mfuneko. Okwangoku, izinga lokutshintshiselwa kwe-ruble laqala ngokuqiniswa. Kodwa yintoni unyaka we-2016 ukulungiselela? Yintoni eya kwenzeka kwi-ruble kunye namanani eethelevishini, iifriji, iimashishini zokuhlamba, ukutya kunye nezinye izinto? Iingcali zinika izibikezelo eziphambene kakhulu. Masizame ukuthatha imbewu kumququ.
Ingqiqo yeengcali: kuya kwenzeka ntoni kwi-ruble ngo-2016
Ngokwezibikezelo zoMphathiswa wezeMali, akukho nto eyoyikisayo nge-ruble ngo-2016 ayiyi kwenzeka: i-dollar exchange rate iya kuba ngama-ruble ama-51. I-arhente ivakalisa eli xabiso le-$ 1 njengelungileyo, ngokuxhomekeke kwindleko ye-barrel ye-Brent brand ye-$ 60. Iingcali ezizimeleyo zithatyathele kuma-ruble angama-55-59 nge-dollar yase-US, enokwenzeka. Kukho nantoni na izizathu zeendaba ezilungileyo. Zonke iingcali zidibaniselwano ukuba izinga le-GDP liya kuhla nge-4%, kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuza kufinyelela kwi-10% ngonyaka. Ukuqwalasela oku, kunye nezohlwayo ezivala ithuba lokuba amashishini amakhulu aseRussia azuzwe kwiimarike zangaphandle, kunye neengxabano ezingabonakaliyo kwi-Donbass, engabonakaliyo, umntu unokulindela ukuhlaziywa okunye kwe-ruble. Ukongezelela, iingcali ziqikelela ukuhla kwe-credit rating yeRussian Federation, eya kubeka ingcinezelo kwi-ruble. Enyanisweni, asisalindele ukuba ixabiso leedola lidlula ii-ruble ezingama-60. Nangona ngaba ngabaqingqi bexesha baya kuzisa imali kulo mgca, iBhanki ePhakathi kufuneka igcine ikhosi ngaphakathi kwemida ebekiwe. Kodwa kuya kwenzeka ntoni kwi-ruble ukuba inani leoli lingaphezulu kwama-60. Iingcali zithi ngexabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka weoli le-R70, i-ruble rate iya kuba ngaphakathi kwinqanaba elichaziweyo.
Ngaba kufuneka ndibalekele kumthengisi namhlanje?
Emva kokufunda kwangaphambili, amaRussia amaninzi agijimela ukuthenga ama-dollar kuma-ruble angama-70. Awuqondi ukuba imidlalo eqikelelweyo kwiimali zinzima kakhulu, efuna ukuhlaziywa kwansuku zonke. Ukubonakala okubonakalayo kwemvuzo kuyakhohlisa. Ukuze uzuze, kufuneka uthenge iidola xa ukukhula kungabonakali. Xa ukuwa kwe-ruble kuqikeleleka, i-marhwebo isele ixakeke kangangokuba ukuhamba kwindlela echasene nayo kuphezulu. Ukongeza, ukuba ingeniso neendleko eziqhelekileyo zibonakaliswe kwiiruble, ngoko unokuthenga iirandi kuphela kwezo mali ezingasetyenziswanga kakhulu kwixesha elizayo. Kungenjalo, kungcono ukuba ungayithatha ingozi, nangona kukho ukubonisana kweengcali ezichazela ukunciphisa ixabiso lemali kazwelonke ngo-2016.
Kwakhona uya kuba nomdla kumanqaku: