Yintoni eya kuba nguqoqosho lwaseRashiya 2015

IRashiya iyingxaki. Oku kubonakala nakumazwe angenamava kwizoqoqosho. Kuza kube nini ixesha elide lixhomekeke kwimigudu kaRhulumente kunye nabarhwebi, kodwa nakubantu, kodwa nakwiimeko zoqoqosho lwehlabathi. Kwaye ekugqibeleni, yea, ke, kukho ukuhla. Oku kuthetha ukuba imfuno yokuthunyelwa kwempahla ayiyi kukhulisa kuphela, enokuxhasa uqoqosho lwaseRussia, kodwa luya kuncipha. Ngenxa yokunciphisa intengo yamandla, umfanekiso ukhululeka kakhulu. Ngoko yintoni esilindele? Ziziphi iingongoma zokukhula eziza kunceda ukunyuka? Masiqhelane nezibikezelo zeengcali. Baza kukunceda ukuba ujikeleze imeko kwaye uzithathele isicwangciso sakho sokwenza isicwangciso.

Uqoqosho lweRashiya 2015: isibikezelo esisemthethweni

Urhulumente ubonisa ukunciphisa ukukhula koqoqosho koqoqosho lwaseRussia. Ngaphezu koko, kunokwenzeka ukunciphisa i-GDP, Endaweni yokukhula kuya kuba nokuhla. Ngokwezicwangciso zoMphathiswa wezeMali, isabelo sebhajethi kufuneka sibe ngaphantsi kwe-1%. Ixabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso li-10-15%. Izinga lokutshintshwa kwe-ruble lingaphantsi kwama-60 kwi-1 dollar yase-US. Inkcitho evunyiweyo yenkqubo yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali yonyaka ka-2015 ilandelwana, kwakunye neendleko ezicetywayo zebhajethi ye-2016-2017.

Ngexesha elifanayo, xa ubeka ingqalelo kwilizwe loqoqosho kunye nethemba lalo lonke u-2015, amagunya aphelelwanga ekuchazeni imeko kwaye achaza imiphumo elandela ngokufanelekileyo. Enyanisweni, akukho miqathango ithathwe ngu rhu lumente ukukhula kwangomso. Iingcali zophikisana nezoqoqosho zixubusha ukuba ziphakamise okanye zinciphise izinga lokuhlaziya, oko kukuthi, Ngaba kuyimfuneko ukuzalisa umnotho ngemali! Okwangoku, i-ruble, ikhutshwe ekubhapheni kwamahhala, ngokunyuka iya ngaphantsi kwamanzi, ikhupha imivumba. Amanani ayanda, angathembisi nto enhle. I-GDP iyaqhubeka iyancipha, ithatha kunye nethemba lokulungiswa kwangaphambili kwimeko. Kwaye izigwebo zeNtshona, ukuvimba ukufikelela kwiimali-mboleko ezincinci, zisongela ukungalingani kwinani lamashishini amakhulu kunye neebhanki. Iingcali zangaphandle zithetha kwangaphambili ukusilela. Ngaba kunokwenzeka?

Yintoni elindele uqoqosho lwaseRussia: uluvo lweengcali ezizimeleyo

Phakathi kweengcali ezizimeleyo akukho mbono oqhelekileyo ngokuphuhliswa kweemeko, ngoko ke, iziganeko zorhulumente waseRussia zinikezelwa ngokwahlukileyo. I-Optimists iqikelela ukuba iifom zokuqala ziphuma kwiinkathazo ngo-2017, ngaphandle kokuba imiba yobudlelwane ne-Ukraine iza kuxazululwa. Abanye, ngokubanzi bangaphandle, balungelelanise ukusalela kwangaphambili. Qinisekisa inyaniso, xa inani elininzi lezinto eziguqukayo zisebenza, akunakwenzeka. Kodwa kwelinye, iingcali ezivavanya uqoqosho lwaseRussia zihambelana: ukuphucula akumele kulinde de 2-3 kweminyaka kamva. Okwangoku, kuqhubekeka ukunciphisa iindleko zohlahlo lwabiwo-mali kunye nokwakha isakhiwo sezoqoqosho phantsi kweemeko ezintsha, apho isabelo sempahla esithunyelwa ngaphandle sincinci kakhulu, kunye nesabelo semali evela kwi-export of materials.

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